So, I'm just going to throw the picks up and update the blog with my reasoning and bets as kickoff approaches. Pretty much everything subject to change before 10.
CLEVELAND @ BALTIMORE
fuckitty fuck fuck Josh McCown!?! WTF Hue. I believed in you.
GREEN BAY @ TENNESSEE
Mariota has been unfairly singled out as the only reason for the Titans losses. He certainly has some gigantic turnovers to answer for, but I place the blame squarely on the refs for this last one.
MINNESOTA @ WASHINGTON
The inability to score has caught up to Minnesota. They really need to win this game, but I don't think anybody is afraid to play the Vikings anymore. Until Bradford leads a comeback, they won't be.
CHICAGO @ TAMPA BAY
A tough game to call here. I hedge toward the home team, but I wouldn't recommend betting or watching this one.
KANSAS CITY @ CAROLINA
This one simply comes down to who wants it more. I don't think the Chiefs play particularly well on the road, and the Panthers have been playing for their season since they lost to the Buccaneers.
ATLANTA @ PHILADELPHIA
This is my pick for the game of the week, along with SEA - NE. Both teams certainly need the boost that comes with beating a contender, and they can expect to see each other in the NFC hunt.
LOS ANGELES @ NEW YORK JETS (UNDER 39)
This one has been picked pretty heavy for the Jets, and I feel pretty uneasy about following suit. If the Rams could score, I would go with them, but this is a watchable game I don't expect anyone to watch.
DENVER @ NEW ORLEANS (NO -3)
Without Talib, the Denver secondary took a big step back. The Oakland passing attack and the New Orleans passing attack resemble each other too much to feel good about their chances in the dome.
HOUSTON @ JACKSONVILLE (HOU +2)
The Texans have a good passing defense, and Jacksonville is stuck in the air. They hung around in Kansas City, but I think that's more because of Nick Foles than anything they did.
MIAMI @ SAN DIEGO (SD- 4 1/2)
Nobody's giving Miami a chance on the road, and I won't either. A 4 1/2 point line seems to suggest Vegas thinks this will be a closer game than the pundits expect.
DALLAS @ PITTSBURGH (DAL +2)
The Cowboys haven't been stopped by anyone yet. I don't think Pittsburgh has the answer, but I do want them to win this one, for totally non-selfish reasons. The history should at least make it tough.
SAN FRANCISCO @ ARIZONA
A 14 point line is too much for me, but I don't really have a good reason to tell anybody else it won't happen.
SEATTLE @ NEW ENGLAND (SEA +8)
The Patriots remember the Fail Mary, and expect to get some street cred they don't even need.
CINCINNATI @ NEW YORK GIANTS
No thoughts on this one. The Giants have burned me too much to pick against them again.
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