Week 1 of the NFL is upon us. Hopefully it's kinder to us than the NCAA was.
WIN: BAL -6 1/2 (-119) 7U to win 5.88U
LOSS: TEN -1 (-105) 3U to win 2.86U
WIN: JAX -3 (-113) 3U to win 2.65U
These 3 jumped out at me, and I can't decide if I should just stick to them and play big or try to find some other value on the prop market. For the moment, this is it, because BetOnline doesn't have props yet. Also, I can't get Baltimore at -6 1/2 anymore, but I like them to win by 14+. One more teaser:
SEA DEN UNDER 47 1/2
BUF BAL UNDER 45 1/2
HOU +12
LOSS: 2U to win 3.20U
So, BetOnline has considerably fewer props than I'm used to, and a significantly clunkier website. I'm taking a risk and going where I know I probably shouldn't, the "First TD" prop. 1U each
LOSS: Delanie Walker +1200
LOSS: Melvin Gordon +550
LOSS: Royce Freeman +700
LOSS: Jordan Reed +800
LOSS: JMon Moore +2500
LOSS: LeGarrette Blount +800
BUF BAL UNDER 45 1/2
HOU +12
LOSS: 2U to win 3.20U
So, BetOnline has considerably fewer props than I'm used to, and a significantly clunkier website. I'm taking a risk and going where I know I probably shouldn't, the "First TD" prop. 1U each
LOSS: Delanie Walker +1200
LOSS: Melvin Gordon +550
LOSS: Royce Freeman +700
LOSS: Jordan Reed +800
LOSS: JMon Moore +2500
LOSS: LeGarrette Blount +800
Addition:
LOSS: BAL - BUF UNDER 40 1/2 -110 3U to win 2.73U
Additional Addition
WIN: LAR -4 1/2 (-105) 1U to win .95U
Thursday Night Prop:
WIN: ATL to kick +1 1/2 FG (-150) 3U to win 2U
Monday Night Addition
LOSS: DET -6 1/2 (-112) 3U to win 2.68U
LOSS: BAL - BUF UNDER 40 1/2 -110 3U to win 2.73U
Additional Addition
WIN: LAR -4 1/2 (-105) 1U to win .95U
Thursday Night Prop:
WIN: ATL to kick +1 1/2 FG (-150) 3U to win 2U
Monday Night Addition
LOSS: DET -6 1/2 (-112) 3U to win 2.68U
Leans:
WIN: Chicago to cover +7 1/2 against GB
WIN: Philly -2 1/2 against the Falcons.
LOSS: PIT -4 1/2 versus the Browns.
-3.47U before the LAR - OAK game.
WIN: Double Result - (+550) 1U to win 5.50U
OAK 1st Half LAR 2nd Half
LOSS: OAK OVER 1 1/2 FG (+100) 3U to win 3U
WIN: LAR OVER 2 1/2 TD (-150) 3U to win 2U
LOSS: OAK TT OVER 20 1/2 (-120) 3U to win 2.5U
-1.02U on the week in NFL. All in all, I think I had a decent read on the games not involving the teams I have a rooting interest in (DET, TEN). Next week I would fade DET but there isn't a line posted yet, probably because they played tonight. Anyways, my big mistake was taking the first to score props. without those I would have been up about 5U.
-3.47U before the LAR - OAK game.
WIN: Double Result - (+550) 1U to win 5.50U
OAK 1st Half LAR 2nd Half
LOSS: OAK OVER 1 1/2 FG (+100) 3U to win 3U
WIN: LAR OVER 2 1/2 TD (-150) 3U to win 2U
LOSS: OAK TT OVER 20 1/2 (-120) 3U to win 2.5U
-1.02U on the week in NFL. All in all, I think I had a decent read on the games not involving the teams I have a rooting interest in (DET, TEN). Next week I would fade DET but there isn't a line posted yet, probably because they played tonight. Anyways, my big mistake was taking the first to score props. without those I would have been up about 5U.
No comments:
Post a Comment