Thursday, September 13, 2018

LOL eSports

Echo Fox won 3 matches at an average of 25 minutes in the Third Place match during the Spring Split. The over/under here is 32 minutes. I think Clutch will improve their showing and perhaps elongate these games, but I think they're still in danger of another sweep. I prefer these lines:

WIN: Echo Fox -1.5 (-200) 4U to win 2U
WIN: Clutch Gaming - To win at least one map - NO - (+171) 1U to win 1.71U
WIN: Gen. G - +1.5 - (-132) 2U to win 1.52U

Like the EPL, I'll keep these numbers separate from football.

WIN: RNG to win 2nd Match - (-135) - 1U to win .74
LOSS: RNG to win 3rd Match - (-135) - 1U to win .74

LOSS: RNG to win 3rd Match- (-130) - 4U to win 3.08U

LOSS: RNG to win 4th Match (-120) - 7U to win 5.83U

Ouch. Welp. Reverse Sweep? Potentially. One game left and it's anybody's guess. Not going to throw more units at it.

So here goes a similar play on Echo Fox after game one. I don't think I was wrong to feel confident with RNG, they pulled it out in the end and were getting pretty decent value. Unfortunately, most of the value is gone now that Echo Fox won the first match.

WIN: Echo Fox -2.5 (-111) 3U to win 2.7U

So, -3.33U isn't too bad given that I lost 12U on two matches. One win for Clutch would have seriously hurt. Huni and Dardoch ran wild on the top lanes against Lira and Solo and kept Febiven largely in check.

Late Addition:

11pm and nothing left to bet on? Not so fast. Here's some more Chinese LOL action.

Edward Gaming - Rouge Warriors Total Time Under 36 Min (-116)

WIN: Match 3 - 5U to win 4.3
LOSS: Match 4 - 5U to win 4.3
PUSH: Match 5 - 5U to win 4.3

Edward Gaming - Rouge Warriors Over 25.5 Total Kills (-122)

LOSS: Match 1 - 2U to win 1.64
LOSS: Match 2 - 2U to win 1.64
WIN: Match 3 - 2U to win 1.64
LOSS: Match 4 - 2U to win 1.64
PUSH: Match 5 - 2U to win 1.64

WIN: Edward Gaming - Winner Match 4 (-141) 3U to win 2.13

-6.26U Total. RNG screwed me but I kept it close otherwise.


WIN: Damwon Gaming -1.5 ( +103) 3U to win 3.09U
WIN: MVP to win (-169) 5U to win 2.95U

LOSS: bbq OLIVERS to win a map: NO (+201) 3U to win 6.03U

Not gonna do the math just yet, I'm down about 3 units.

9/21

WIN: MVP to win 1 map : NO (+758) 1U to win 7.58U
WIN: Team BattleComics to win (+121) 5U to win 6.05U

LIVE:

WIN: Team BattleComics to win Match 2 (-108) 4U to win 3.72U
WIN: Team BattleComics to win Match 3 (-108) 4U to win 3.72U

Up 17.85U.

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