Tuesday, January 10, 2017

NFL Playoffs - First Round

So, how best to erase the taste of a bad loss in Houston? More football, of course  I'm sticking with the home teams this time, but since posting I've changed my mind on the Pittsburgh/KC tilt. Nothing in particular warranted the switch, I just don't think KC will be able to score enough. I'm taking the line off on that game as well, and I had the Dallas line backwards, they're 4.5 point favorites.

Update: Sticking with a recent theme, I will now chicken out of my Pittsburgh pick. Back to KC and a full slate of home cookin'.

SEATTLE @ ATLANTA (SEA+4 1/2)

Atlanta probably should have won the prior meeting in Seattle. For those that missed it, there was a no-call on Sherman that prevented the Falcons from kicking what almost certainly would have been a game winning field goal. This Seattle team is inconsistent, and on the road. Not saying it's impossible, just sayin'.

HOUSTON @ NEW ENGLAND (NE - 15)

Now I will say it's impossible. There's no way the least hospitable B-and-B in New England let Osweiler get comfortable on the road. New England is essentially getting a bye all the way to the conference finals when you consider the level of competition in the other AFC semifinal. Somebody should make sure Brady doesn't de-fluff the pillows.

PITTSBURGH @ KANSAS CITY

This one is going to be good. Kansas City's secondary will most likely take Antonio Brown out of the game and force the Steelers to beat them on the ground. The Titans have drafted the blueprint to do just that, but, without a Delanie Walker-type TE, I don't think PIT can replicate. Kansas City just doesn't have the offensive weapons to keep up if Pittsburgh can turn this into a shootout.

GREEN BAY @ DALLAS (DAL -4 1/2)

Aaron Rodgers blew the top of the NY Giants last week, without breaking a sweat. OBJ's awful case of the drops (or Eli's usual case of inaccuracy) was what truly put the game on it's head. The Giants couldn't get their D off the field, I think the Pack will be the ones having a hard time getting their own to the bench in this one. See: Previous meeting at Lambeau, which GB never looked competitive in.

No comments:

Post a Comment